Elon Musk

“SpaceX launches 90% of all satellite mass to orbit. So if you take all of Earth's rocket launches, my company has a 90% market share of Earth, China does about…”

Musk claims SpaceX launches 90% of all satellite mass to orbit globally, with China at about 5% and everyone else (Boeing, Lockheed, Northrop) making up the remaining 5%.

“DOJ has been attacking SpaceX, for example, for not hiring asylum seekers, even though it is illegal for SpaceX to hire anyone who is not a permanent resident …”

Musk claims the DOJ sued SpaceX for discriminating against asylum seekers even though ITAR export-control law made it illegal for SpaceX to hire anyone who is not a permanent resident, framing the lawsuit as a damned-if-you-do government catch-22.

“our interest payments on the national debt now exceed the Defense Department budget, and the defense budget is like a trillion dollars a year.”

Musk claims US interest payments on the national debt now exceed the roughly one-trillion-dollar Defense Department budget.

“No, it's not possible.”

Musk states flatly that a giant building-sized atmospheric carbon-capture filter is "not possible."

“Yeah, 600 miles.”

Musk confirms the next-generation Tesla Roadster is expected to have a 600-mile range.

“And the tax burden for health care for illegals was supposed to be 3 billion. I think they now estimate it's 9 billion. But that number will scale to infinity.”

Musk claims California's free healthcare for undocumented immigrants was projected to cost $3 billion but is now estimated at $9 billion, calling it a magnet for illegal immigration.

“Now it's like 95% or something Democrat. So the legacy media, the mainstream media is not balanced at all. They're just a mouthpiece for the Democratic Party.”

Musk claims journalists' political donations have shifted from roughly two-thirds Democrat to about 95% Democrat, and concludes legacy media is simply a mouthpiece for Democrats.

“The S, X, and 3 have the lowest probability of injury of any cars ever tested by the US government.”

Musk states that the Tesla Model S, Model X, and Model 3 have the lowest probability of injury of any cars ever tested by the US government.

“Manhattan had like 300,000 horses. You figure, like, if a horse lives 15 years, you've got 20,000 horses dropping dead every year if there's 300,000 horses in …”

Musk claims that historical Manhattan had roughly 300,000 horses, implying about 20,000 would die per year given a 15-year average lifespan.

“My guess is that probably saves 100 billion a year.”

Musk estimates that requiring mandatory payment categorization codes at Treasury will save roughly $100 billion a year.

“Elon's a bad businessman, Twitter is worth you know 400% less than when he bought it. No, it wasn't worth that in the first place. It wasn't worth 44 billion d…”

Musk disputes reports that Twitter/X lost roughly 400% of its value since his acquisition, claiming it was never actually worth the $44 billion purchase price to begin with.

“if you look at say um you know FEMA like the the agency that was paying for illegal aliens to stay at luxury hotels in New York”

Musk claims FEMA (an agency meant to help Americans in natural disasters) was paying for illegal aliens to stay at luxury hotels in New York, including sending $80 million after Trump ordered it stopped.

“Now it is closed source and for maximum profit. So it's like, I mean, to some degree, I think reality is an irony maximizer.”

Musk claims OpenAI, which he says he founded and named as an open-source nonprofit AI project, has become fully closed-source and profit-maximizing.

“I think those guys killed 100 million people. So Trump has killed zero people.”

Musk states that Hitler, Mussolini, and Stalin collectively killed 100 million people, contrasting this with zero deaths attributable to Trump, to argue media comparisons of Trump to these dictators are absurd.

“There's a level beyond that which is, say, like, smarter than all humans combined, which frankly is around 2029 or 2030, probably right on time.”

Musk predicts AI will become smarter than all humans combined by around 2029 or 2030.

“we've now taken people to orbit and back. We've taken over 50 people, over 50 astronauts.”

Musk claims SpaceX's Dragon spacecraft has taken over 50 astronauts to orbit and back.

“But it's currently, I think it's like 600,000 are registered to vote illegal aliens in New York.”

Musk claims approximately 600,000 illegal aliens are registered to vote in New York state and city elections.

“I mean, like, the Associated Press, which I call Associated Propaganda. The ap, they ran an international news story saying that Doge fired air traffic control…”

Musk claims the Associated Press falsely reported that DOGE fired air traffic controllers, when in fact the administration was trying to hire more, not fire any.

“misgendering Caitlyn Jenner is worse than global thermonuclear war. I mean, like, okay, we got a problem here.”

Musk claims Gemini answered that misgendering Caitlyn Jenner would be worse than global thermonuclear war, and cites this as evidence of dangerous AI safety alignment failures baked into Google's chatbot.

“Yeah, there is, actually. I think the probability of a good outcome is like 80% likely.”

Musk states his estimate that AI has an 80% probability of a good outcome for humanity.

“I mean, SpaceX, you know, my company, SpaceX has the most advanced rocket technology in the world. I think I'd know.”

Musk claims that because SpaceX has the world's most advanced rocket technology and he holds top-level security clearance, he would know if secret government UAP propulsion technology existed, and says none does.

“a lot of really qualified air traffic controllers were pushed out because of DEI stuff. So, I mean, not to be blunt. I mean, a bunch of really good, talented o…”

Musk claims a talent shortage in air traffic control exists because DEI hiring policies pushed out qualified older white air traffic controllers in favor of hiring on demographic criteria rather than merit.

“He wanted to. I think he was trying to get at Trump and maybe me and a few others, but he stole like, 500,000 tax returns. Like, not a few. Like, it's a lot of…”

Musk claims an IRS employee deliberately leaked around 500,000 tax returns, targeting Trump, Musk, and others.

“The Biden administration was also suing SpaceX. They had this massive lawsuit against SpaceX for SpaceX not hiring Asylum seekers.”

Musk claims the Biden administration's DOJ sued SpaceX specifically for not hiring asylum seekers and refugees.

“once you have full and rapid reusability, the cost of access to space drops by a factor of 100. It's like 100 times cheaper by some metrics. It's 1,000 times c…”

Musk claims full and rapid reusability of Starship will cut the cost of access to space by a factor of 100 to 1,000, and by a factor of 10,000 to Mars with orbital refueling.

“their economic output was like, in East Germany, was like a quarter of what it was in West Germany because everyone was working for the government.”

Musk claims East Germany's economic output was about one-quarter of West Germany's at reunification because the government employed everyone.

“The next thing you know is Sunday afternoon, they're posting on X, that he's resigned from the race. And his staff didn't even know. Like they're reading it on…”

Musk claims Biden's own staff learned of his withdrawal from the 2024 race by reading it on X, implying they had no advance notice.

“quarter of the speakers were Jewish like there was like there were people of every race color creed religion at that at that Rally like tell me what about that…”

Musk claims about a quarter of the speakers at the Madison Square Garden Trump rally were Jewish, offering this as proof the event could not be a 'Nazi rally.'

“So it's somewhere around 450, depending on what you call an agency. At the federal level, that's almost twice as many agencies as years that America has existe…”

Musk claims there are roughly 450 federal government agencies in the US, nearly double the number of years the country has existed.

“Trump says he wants to execute Liz Cheney. I'm like, that is utter bullshit.”

Musk claims media reports that Trump wanted to 'execute' Liz Cheney are utter bullshit and that Trump only said she should face combat risk before being a warmonger.

“They literally showed video of the Nazi rally from 1930s and then compared it to the Trump rally now ignoring the fact that Fucking Jimmy Carter spoke there.”

Musk claims MSNBC directly compared video of a 1930s Nazi rally to the 2024 Trump MSG rally while ignoring that Democratic figures like Jimmy Carter had held rallies at the same venue.

“this thing in New York where the 34 different felony counts, they were essentially misdemeanors that there are bookkeeping bookkeeping errors”

Musk claims Trump's 34 New York felony convictions were essentially misdemeanor bookkeeping errors improperly elevated to felonies past the statute of limitations.

“the interest payments which are already 23% of all government income, including income taxes, tariffs, and everything, is just going to pay interest right now.”

Musk claims interest payments already consume 23% of all US government revenue (income taxes, tariffs, and other receipts combined).

“I saw a number on like 300,000 or something like that. Something crazy like that. Let's say it's only 10% of that. That's still insane.”

Musk claims roughly 300,000 migrant children who crossed the border are missing/unaccounted for, suggesting mass child trafficking.

“So, I mean, there's a lot of payments that. Where someone just approved the payment, but then that payment officer changed jobs or retired or died, and the pay…”

Musk claims federal payments frequently keep flowing indefinitely after the approving officer changes jobs, retires, or dies, comparing it to a forgotten gym membership costing billions.

“So like, there's a case where, like I think Senator Collins was telling you about how she gave the Navy $12 billion for more submarines, got no extra submarine…”

Musk claims Senator Susan Collins gave the Navy $12 billion for additional submarines, received no extra submarines, and then held a hearing asking where the money went.

“responsible for almost $5 trillion of payments a year, roughly a billion dollars an hour.”

Musk claims the Treasury's payments system ("PAM") processes almost $5 trillion a year, or roughly a billion dollars an hour, often with no payment categorization code or description.

“that animal agriculture is the number one contributor to global warming. Yeah, it's rubbish. It's not true. It's bullshit.”

Musk claims it is false that animal agriculture is the number one contributor to global warming and that eating less meat makes no measurable difference to climate change.

“You know, there's only two car companies in the history of American car companies that haven't gone bankrupt, and that's Ford and Tesla.”

Musk claims that Ford and Tesla are the only two American car companies in history that have never gone bankrupt.

“and I think 84% of people polled believe that you should show ID to vote. So it's against the will of the people.”

Musk claims 84% of people polled believe voters should be required to show ID, and that California's ID-related voting law goes against this.

“They suppressed the views by 50 percent of factual information. Yeah, no, there was massive government interference in Twitter.”

Musk claims the government pressured Twitter and Facebook to suppress views of factual information (e.g. Tucker Carlson content) by 50 percent.

“Yeah, a lawyer at Perkins Coy Who was paid by the Clinton campaign”

Musk claims the Steele dossier was commissioned and paid for by a Perkins Coie lawyer working for the Clinton campaign.

“I met with Congress. I was at a meeting of all 50 governors and talked about just AI danger. And I talked to everyone I could.”

Musk claims he met with Congress and with a meeting of all 50 US governors to warn about AI danger.

“So from a long-term existential standpoint, that's like the purpose of Neuralink is to create a high bandwidth interface to the brain such that we can be symbi…”

Musk describes Neuralink's purpose as creating a high-bandwidth brain interface enabling humans to be symbiotic with AI, and says in a few months there would be an announcement of something 'at least an order of magnitude better than anything else.'

“even when the ground moves, the tunnel actually is able to shift along with the ground, like an underground snake. And it doesn't crack or break. And it's extr…”

Musk describes the Boring Company tunnel segments as flexible, unbreakable under ground movement, and rated to withstand five atmospheres of pressure while being fully waterproof and gas-proof.

“This is one of the worst places to dig tunnels because the – mostly because of the paperwork. People think it's like what about seismic? It's like actually tun…”

Musk claims that earthquakes are essentially a surface phenomenon, implying underground tunnels are inherently very safe during earthquakes.

“So then we got the permit for the pit, and we dug the pit. And we dug it in, like, I don't know, three days, two, three days.”

Musk claims the Boring Company obtained a permit and dug its first test pit in about two to three days (later clarified in the same conversation as roughly 48 hours).

“I mean, I don't know any serious scientists, actually zero, literally zero, who don't think that we have quite a serious climate risk that we're facing.”

Musk asserts that literally zero serious scientists dispute that humanity faces a serious climate risk.

“The auto industry fought seatbelts, I think, for more than a decade. Successfully fought any regulations on seatbelts, even though the numbers were extremely o…”

Musk claims the auto industry successfully fought seatbelt safety regulations for more than a decade despite clear evidence of their life-saving benefit.

“What we're seeing is triple digit increases in the number of illegals in every swing state. In some cases, 700% increases. These are gigantic numbers.”

Musk claims government data shows triple-digit (in some cases 700%) increases in the number of undocumented immigrants in swing states, implying a deliberate strategy to flip elections permanently to Democrats.

“It was a case where we saw one person was getting $1.9 billion sent to their NGO, which basically got formed about a year ago and had no prior, really no prior…”

Musk claims DOGE found a one-year-old NGO with no prior activity receiving $1.9 billion in government funds.

“Yes. We found just with a basic search of the Social Security database that there were 20 million dead people marked as alive.”

Musk claims a basic search of the Social Security database found 20 million dead people marked as alive.

“Yeah. At current birth rates, in three generations, Korea will be about 4% of its current size.”

Musk claims that at current birth rates, South Korea's population will shrink to about 4% of its current size within three generations.

“Now, deleting social media from your applications, from your phones, does that give you a 10% boost to happiness? What do you think the percentage is? I think …”

Musk agrees that deleting social media apps gives roughly a 10% boost to happiness.

“if it was 100% electric, that's only about 100 million per year. So it would take, if you could snap your fingers and instantly turn all cars and trucks electr…”

Musk states that even with all new car production instantly switched to electric, it would take about 25 years to replace the global transport fleet.

“Well, the argument for the simulation I think is quite strong because if you assume any improvement at all over time, any improvement, 1%, 0.1%, just extend th…”

Musk argues that any rate of technological improvement over time makes it highly likely we are living in a computer simulation.