Lance Armstrong on business: what the evidence says · JRE #737
SUBJECT: BUSINESS
Not a true/false call. Every claim is logged with its sources; read the exhibits below.
I mean, you look at Trek Bicycles, for example. I mean, before the first tour, I think we did $125 million in sales. We do a billion now.
What the evidence says 01 / RECORD
This claim could not be adequately verified against sources meeting this project's evidentiary standard. Trek is a privately held company that does not publish audited financial statements, so any pre-1999 or present-day revenue figure comes only from trade-press or industry-research estimates rather than filed financial records. Independent research (industry histories, trade press, and company profiles) puts Trek's sales at roughly $300-330 million in the mid-1990s, well above the $125 million Armstrong cites as the pre-1999 figure, while estimates of Trek's revenue by the mid-2010s cluster near $1 billion, roughly consistent with Armstrong's claim. However, none of the specific sources carrying these figures (business trade press, industry-research firms, and older news archives) fall within this project's approved source list, so the correction cannot be published with adequate sourcing at this time. The available evidence suggests the ending figure (about $1 billion) is roughly plausible while the starting figure (about $125 million) is likely too low, but this cannot be confirmed to the required standard.