Peter McCullough on health: what the evidence says · JRE #1747
SUBJECT: HEALTH
Not a true/false call. Every claim is logged with its sources; read the exhibits below.
You know what the transmissibility of Omicron is? Four. So for the first time, we've actually gone down in transmissibility.
What the evidence says 01 / RECORD
McCullough predicted in mid-December 2021, citing a modeling figure that put Omicron's transmissibility index at 4 versus Delta's 10, that Omicron would not overtake Delta as the dominant variant. Genomic surveillance instead showed Omicron rapidly outcompeting Delta: after being identified in southern Africa in late November 2021, it was designated a variant of concern within days and had spread to 87 countries within three weeks, evidencing a strong transmission advantage over the circulating Delta variant. Public health reporting from December 10, 2021, before this episode aired, already cited infectious-disease experts concluding Omicron was likely to outcompete the already highly transmissible Delta variant, contrary to McCullough's on-air prediction. Omicron went on to become the globally dominant SARS-CoV-2 variant within weeks of this episode airing, and current evidence characterizes it as substantially more transmissible than Delta, not less. The claim is considered false.